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Oman: Improvement in ratings outlook

Risk Management Reports
Issue 1167 - 24 Apr 2023 | 3 minute read

Risk Grade B3↑

Ratings boost: Fitch Ratings revised its outlook on Oman’s rating to positive from stable on 11 April, while affirming it at BB. S&P Global Ratings had announced the same move on 31 March. Fitch said the change reflected the improvements made in the government debt to gross domestic product ratio, with high oil prices and spending restraint reducing the external liquidity risk. Debt/GDP fell from 61% at end-2021 to 40% a year later and Fitch said it should reach 37% by end-2024.

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Risk Management Report grades

GSN risk grades are intended to provide a broad guide to political and economic stability.

Political risk
Rated according to six grades, from A (most stable) to F (failed state).

Economic and financial risk
Graded from 1 (wealthiest/most sound financials) to 6 (bankrupt).

The grades are intended only to offer an immediate gauge of where risk stands in the regional pecking order. An A or 1 grade does not mean the polity is devoid of risk.

To provide a degree of nuance, risk grades also use trends arrows which go upwards (↑) or downwards () to denote cases where momentum is positive or negative.

The grades do not change regularly: upgrades and downgrades are intended to reflect long-term trends or the impact of an exceptionally changed situation.